46% of Muslims in France Would Consider Leaving if Marine Le Pen Wins 2027 Election
An Ifop survey found that nearly half of Muslim respondents would contemplate moving abroad if the National Rally leader becomes president, amid concerns about discrimination and religious freedom.
PARIS, France: Nearly half of Muslim respondents in France would consider leaving the country if Marine Le Pen wins the 2027 presidential election, according to a new survey conducted by polling institute Ifop for French magazine Marianne.
The survey, conducted online between September 25 and 30, 2026, among 9,689 adults in metropolitan France, found that 46 per cent of respondents identifying as Muslim would consider leaving France to settle in another country if Le Pen becomes president. About 20 per cent said they would definitely consider doing so.
By comparison, 21 per cent of respondents in the general population said they would consider leaving France under the same circumstances.
The findings come as immigration, national identity, secularism and the place of religion in public life feature prominently in political discussions ahead of the 2027 presidential election.
Le Pen, a leading figure in the right-wing National Rally party, has advocated stricter immigration policies and restrictions on the wearing of Islamic veils in public spaces. These proposals have contributed to concerns among some Muslim respondents about their future in the country.
The Ifop survey also found that approximately 81 per cent of Muslim respondents feared that discrimination or hostility towards their community could increase if Le Pen wins the presidency.
However, the poll measures respondents’ stated intentions in a hypothetical scenario. It does not establish that those who expressed a willingness to leave will ultimately emigrate.
Le Pen’s position ahead of the 2027 election
Le Pen remains a significant contender in the race for France’s presidency, with opinion polls indicating substantial support for the National Rally leader.
An earlier Ifop survey published in July 2026 placed her at 36 per cent in simulated first-round voting intentions following her announcement of her candidacy. The same survey examined several possible election scenarios involving other political figures.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of the left-wing France Unbowed movement, is among the politicians seeking support ahead of the election.
The presidential contest is expected to feature debates over immigration, the economy, national identity, secularism and religious freedom.
France’s presidential election is scheduled for 2027, with the outcome yet to be determined.
